UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

women Colorado Mesa 2
  
Colorado Mesa         
W-L: (11- 6) PR = 91.3530

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Rockhurst GLVC (12- 4, 90.5) 14-16 216 A Missouri Western GLVC ( 9- 8, 88.1) 15-12 227 A Florida Tech Sunshine ( 6-12, 94.0) 8-15 301 A St Leo Sunshine (13- 6, 96.5) 10-18 306 H Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 7-14 314 A Regis (CO) Rocky Mountai (13- 4, 93.3) 16-11 316 A Colorado-Colorado Spri Rocky Mountai ( 9- 6, 89.3) 18-15 322 H Westminster (UT) Rocky Mountai ( 6-10, 87.1) 17- 6 328 H CSU-Pueblo Rocky Mountai ( 2-12, 82.7) 17- 2 330 H Fort Lewis Rocky Mountai ( 1-15, 81.7) 17- 6 405 A Westminster (UT) Rocky Mountai ( 6-10, 87.1) 20- 5 411 H Colorado-Colorado Spri Rocky Mountai ( 9- 6, 89.3) 20- 9 413 H Regis (CO) Rocky Mountai (13- 4, 93.3) 11-14 417 A Fort Lewis Rocky Mountai ( 1-15, 81.7) 16- 2 419 A CSU-Pueblo Rocky Mountai ( 2-12, 82.7) 20- 5 425 H Westminster (UT) Rocky Mountai ( 6-10, 87.1) 17- 7 427 H Regis (CO) Rocky Mountai (13- 4, 93.3) 8-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Rockhurst              14-16      -2     0    -     -2.28
   216 A Missouri Western       15-12       3     3           0.29
   227 A Florida Tech            8-15      -7    -3          -1.77
   301 A St Leo                 10-18      -8    -6           0.00
   306 H Grand Valley State      7-14      -7     0    --    -5.04
   314 A Regis (CO)             16-11       5    -3    +++    7.51
   316 A Colorado-Colorado Spri 18-15       3     1           1.53
   322 H Westminster (UT)       17- 6      11     5           0.15
   328 H CSU-Pueblo             17- 2      15     9           0.00
   330 H Fort Lewis             17- 6      11    10           0.00
   405 A Westminster (UT)       20- 5      15     4           1.26
   411 H Colorado-Colorado Spri 20- 9      11     3    +      2.42
   413 H Regis (CO)             11-14      -3    -1          -1.60
   417 A Fort Lewis             16- 2      14     9           0.00
   419 A CSU-Pueblo             20- 5      15     8           0.00
   425 H Westminster (UT)       17- 7      10     5           0.15
   427 H Regis (CO)              8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Grand Valley State      7-14      -7     0    --    -5.04
   214 A Rockhurst              14-16      -2     0    -     -2.28
   427 H Regis (CO)              8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Regis (CO)             16-11       5    -3    +++    7.51
   411 H Colorado-Colorado Spri 20- 9      11     3    +      2.42

Colorado Mesa Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alabama-Huntsville
American International Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Anderson (SC) Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Ashland Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Colorado Mesa
Assumption Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Barton Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Belmont Abbey Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bloomsburg Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Bridgeport Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Caldwell Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Catawba Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Charleston Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Chestnut Hill Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Chowan Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Coker Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa  
Concordia-St Paul Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Colorado Mesa
Converse Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
CSU-Pueblo Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa  
D'Youville Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Daemen Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Davenport Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Colorado Mesa
Davis & Elkins Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
District of Columbia Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Dominican (CA) Colorado Mesa tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Colorado Mesa
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Emmanuel (GA) Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Emory & Henry Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Felician Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Findlay Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Flagler Flagler insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern Florida Southern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Florida Tech Florida Tech Florida Tech  
Fort Lewis Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa  
Franklin Pierce Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Frostburg State Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Gannon Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Georgian Court Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State Grand Valley State  
Holy Family Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Indiana (PA) Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis   4- 0 vs 2- 3
Kutztown Kutztown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kutztown
Lake Erie Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Lander Lander insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lander
Lee Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Lees-McRae Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Lenoir-Rhyne Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Colorado Mesa
Lewis Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Colorado Mesa
Limestone Limestone tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Lock Haven Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Lynn Lynn Lynn   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Malone Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Mars Hill Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Maryville Maryville Maryville   4- 0 vs 2- 3
McKendree Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Colorado Mesa
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Millersville Millersville   Millersville
Missouri Western Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa  
Molloy Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Montevallo Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Mount Olive Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
North Greenville Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Northern Michigan Colorado Mesa tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Colorado Mesa
Northwood Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Pace Pace tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Colorado Mesa
Post Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Quincy Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Colorado Mesa
Regis (CO) Regis (CO) Regis (CO)  
Roberts Wesleyan Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Rockhurst Rockhurst Rockhurst  
Rollins Rollins tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Seton Hill Seton Hill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Seton Hill
Shepherd Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Shippensburg Shippensburg   Shippensburg
Shorter Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Southern New Hampshire Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Southern Wesleyan Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
St Anselm St Anselm   St Anselm
St Leo St Leo St Leo  
St Michaels Colorado Mesa tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Colorado Mesa
St Thomas Aquinas Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Tampa Tampa Tampa   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Thomas Jefferson Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Thomas More Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Tiffin Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Tusculum Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Ursuline Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
UVA Wise Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Virginia State Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Walsh Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Colorado Mesa
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Westminster (UT) Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa  
Wheeling Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
William Jewell Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Wilmington (DE) Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Wingate Wingate insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wingate
Young Harris Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa

PowerWise = 80


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Rockhurst       (12- 4, 90.5)    14-16       -9.38      21.80       0.55         0.95            -8.39
   0 A Missouri Weste  ( 9- 8, 88.1)    15-12      -11.81      19.37       0.55         0.95            18.94
   0 A Florida Tech    ( 6-12, 94.0)     8-15       -5.87      25.31       0.55         0.95            -5.05
   0 A St Leo          (13- 6, 96.5)    10-18       -3.40      27.78       0.55         0.95            -2.71
   0 H Grand Valley S  (15- 3, 91.9)     7-14       -8.03      23.15      -0.55         0.95            -8.16
   0 A Regis (CO)      (13- 4, 93.3)    16-11       -6.59      24.59       0.55         0.95            23.90
   0 A Colorado-Color  ( 9- 6, 89.3)    18-15      -10.57      20.61       0.55         0.95            20.12
   0 H Westminster (U  ( 6-10, 87.1)    17- 6      -12.84      18.34      -0.55         0.95            16.91
   0 H CSU-Pueblo      ( 2-12, 82.7)    17- 2      -17.18      14.00      -0.55         0.95            12.79
   0 H Fort Lewis      ( 1-15, 81.7)    17- 6      -18.21      12.97      -0.55         0.95            11.81
   0 A Westminster (U  ( 6-10, 87.1)    20- 5      -12.84      18.34       0.55         0.95            17.96
   0 H Colorado-Color  ( 9- 6, 89.3)    20- 9      -10.57      20.61      -0.55         0.95            19.07
   0 H Regis (CO)      (13- 4, 93.3)    11-14       -6.59      24.59      -0.55         0.95            -6.79
   0 A Fort Lewis      ( 1-15, 81.7)    16- 2      -18.21      12.97       0.55         0.95            12.86
   0 A CSU-Pueblo      ( 2-12, 82.7)    20- 5      -17.18      14.00       0.55         0.95            13.84
   0 H Westminster (U  ( 6-10, 87.1)    17- 7      -12.84      18.34      -0.55         0.95            16.91
   0 H Regis (CO)      (13- 4, 93.3)     8-12       -6.59      24.59      -0.55         0.95            -6.79
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       147.19

winning pts = 185.0947 losing points = -37.9009

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------