UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Colorado Mesa 2
  
Colorado Mesa         
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 87.4767

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A St Leo Sunshine (12- 3, 95.0) 7-17 213 A Rollins Sunshine ( 9- 6, 91.0) 9-12 215 A Lynn Sunshine ( 9- 4, 94.0) 9-15 222 H Missouri Western GLVC ( 5- 4, 86.4) 7- 9 228 H Florida Tech Sunshine ( 5- 9, 90.3) 15-14 302 H Northern Michigan GLIAC ( 8- 3, 88.4) 7- 9 308 N Rockhurst GLVC ( 8- 1, 89.2) 13-14 315 H Colorado-Colorado Spri Rocky Mountai ( 7- 5, 88.0) 7- 8 321 A Westminster (UT) Rocky Mountai ( 7- 3, 88.1) 13-16 327 A CSU-Pueblo Rocky Mountai ( 4- 9, 83.8) 11- 8 329 A Fort Lewis Rocky Mountai ( 0- 9, 79.3) 15- 2 401 H Regis (CO) Rocky Mountai (10- 4, 90.7) 5-10 403 H Westminster (UT) Rocky Mountai ( 7- 3, 88.1) 18- 6 410 A Colorado-Colorado Spri Rocky Mountai ( 7- 5, 88.0) 412 A Regis (CO) Rocky Mountai (10- 4, 90.7) 417 H Fort Lewis Rocky Mountai ( 0- 9, 79.3) 419 H CSU-Pueblo Rocky Mountai ( 4- 9, 83.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A St Leo                  7-17     -10    -8           0.00
   213 A Rollins                 9-12      -3    -4           0.92
   215 A Lynn                    9-15      -6    -7           0.00
   222 H Missouri Western        7- 9      -2     2    -     -3.50
   228 H Florida Tech           15-14       1    -2    +      3.42
   302 H Northern Michigan       7- 9      -2    -1          -1.46
   308 N Rockhurst              13-14      -1    -2           0.72
   315 H Colorado-Colorado Spri  7- 8      -1     0          -0.90
   321 A Westminster (UT)       13-16      -3    -1          -1.96
   327 A CSU-Pueblo             11- 8       3     3          -0.22
   329 A Fort Lewis             15- 2      13     8           0.00
   401 H Regis (CO)              5-10      -5    -3    -     -2.18
   403 H Westminster (UT)       18- 6      12     0    ++     5.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Missouri Western        7- 9      -2     2    -     -3.50
   401 H Regis (CO)              5-10      -5    -3    -     -2.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Westminster (UT)       18- 6      12     0    ++     5.23
   228 H Florida Tech           15-14       1    -2    +      3.42

Colorado Mesa Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Alabama-Huntsville
American International Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC) tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashland
Assumption Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Colorado Mesa
Barton Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Belmont Abbey Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Bentley Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Bloomsburg Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Bridgeport Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Caldwell Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Catawba Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Charleston Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Chestnut Hill Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Chowan Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Coker Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring  
Concordia-St Paul Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Colorado Mesa
Converse Colorado Mesa tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Colorado Mesa
CSU-Pueblo Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa  
D'Youville Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Daemen Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Davenport Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Davis & Elkins Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
District of Columbia Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA)   Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY) tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Emmanuel (GA) Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Emory & Henry Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Felician Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Findlay Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Flagler Flagler Flagler   4- 0 vs 2- 3
Florida Southern Florida Southern Florida Southern   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Florida Tech Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa  
Fort Lewis Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa  
Franklin Pierce Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Frostburg State Frostburg State   Frostburg State
Gannon Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Georgian Court Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Grand Valley State
Holy Family Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Indiana (PA) Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lake Erie Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Lander Lander tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lander
Lee Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Lees-McRae Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Limestone Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Lincoln Memorial Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Lock Haven Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Lynn Lynn Lynn  
Malone Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Mars Hill Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Maryville Maryville Maryville   2- 0 vs 0- 2
McKendree Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Colorado Mesa
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy
Millersville Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Missouri Western Missouri Western Missouri Western  
Molloy Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Montevallo Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Colorado Mesa
Mount Olive Mount Olive tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mount Olive
New Haven Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Newberry Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
North Greenville Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Northwood Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Pace Pace tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Colorado Mesa
Post Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Quincy Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Colorado Mesa
Regis (CO) Regis (CO) Regis (CO)  
Roberts Wesleyan Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Rockhurst Rockhurst Rockhurst  
Rollins Rollins Rollins  
Saginaw Valley State Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
Seton Hill Seton Hill   Seton Hill
Shepherd Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Shippensburg Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Shorter Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Southern Wesleyan Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
St Anselm St Anselm tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Anselm
St Leo St Leo St Leo  
St Michaels Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa
St Thomas Aquinas Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Tampa Tampa insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Tiffin Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Tusculum Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Ursuline Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
UVA Wise Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Virginia State Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Walsh Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT)   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Wheeling Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
William Jewell Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) Colorado Mesa
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)   Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado Mesa

PowerWise = 73


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A St Leo          (12- 3, 95.0)     7-17       -4.95      28.24       0.41         0.85            -3.86
   0 A Rollins         ( 9- 6, 91.0)     9-12       -8.91      24.28       0.41         0.85            -7.22
   0 A Lynn            ( 9- 4, 94.0)     9-15       -5.91      27.28       0.41         0.85            -4.67
   0 H Missouri Weste  ( 5- 4, 86.4)     7- 9      -13.52      19.67      -0.41         0.85           -11.82
   0 H Florida Tech    ( 5- 9, 90.3)    15-14       -9.60      23.59      -0.41         0.85            19.68
   0 H Northern Michi  ( 8- 3, 88.4)     7- 9      -11.48      21.71      -0.41         0.85           -10.09
   0 N Rockhurst       ( 8- 1, 89.2)    13-14      -10.70      22.49      -0.00         0.85            -9.08
   0 H Colorado-Color  ( 7- 5, 88.0)     7- 8      -11.91      21.28      -0.41         0.85           -10.46
   0 A Westminster (U  ( 7- 3, 88.1)    13-16      -11.79      21.40       0.41         0.85            -9.66
   0 A CSU-Pueblo      ( 4- 9, 83.8)    11- 8      -16.05      17.14       0.41         0.85            14.89
   0 A Fort Lewis      ( 0- 9, 79.3)    15- 2      -20.56      12.63       0.41         0.85            11.07
   0 H Regis (CO)      (10- 4, 90.7)     5-10       -9.19      24.00      -0.41         0.85            -8.15
   0 H Westminster (U  ( 7- 3, 88.1)    18- 6      -11.79      21.40      -0.41         0.85            17.82
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -11.53

winning pts = 63.4732 losing points = -75.0069

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------