Colorado Mesa 
W-L: (11- 6) PR = 91.3530
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
214 A Rockhurst GLVC (12- 4, 90.5) 14-16
216 A Missouri Western GLVC ( 9- 8, 88.1) 15-12
227 A Florida Tech Sunshine ( 6-12, 94.0) 8-15
301 A St Leo Sunshine (13- 6, 96.5) 10-18
306 H Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 7-14
314 A Regis (CO) Rocky Mountai (13- 4, 93.3) 16-11
316 A Colorado-Colorado Spri Rocky Mountai ( 9- 6, 89.3) 18-15
322 H Westminster (UT) Rocky Mountai ( 6-10, 87.1) 17- 6
328 H CSU-Pueblo Rocky Mountai ( 2-12, 82.7) 17- 2
330 H Fort Lewis Rocky Mountai ( 1-15, 81.7) 17- 6
405 A Westminster (UT) Rocky Mountai ( 6-10, 87.1) 20- 5
411 H Colorado-Colorado Spri Rocky Mountai ( 9- 6, 89.3) 20- 9
413 H Regis (CO) Rocky Mountai (13- 4, 93.3) 11-14
417 A Fort Lewis Rocky Mountai ( 1-15, 81.7) 16- 2
419 A CSU-Pueblo Rocky Mountai ( 2-12, 82.7) 20- 5
425 H Westminster (UT) Rocky Mountai ( 6-10, 87.1) 17- 7
427 H Regis (CO) Rocky Mountai (13- 4, 93.3) 8-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A Rockhurst 14-16 -2 0 - -2.28
216 A Missouri Western 15-12 3 3 0.29
227 A Florida Tech 8-15 -7 -3 -1.77
301 A St Leo 10-18 -8 -6 0.00
306 H Grand Valley State 7-14 -7 0 -- -5.04
314 A Regis (CO) 16-11 5 -3 +++ 7.51
316 A Colorado-Colorado Spri 18-15 3 1 1.53
322 H Westminster (UT) 17- 6 11 5 0.15
328 H CSU-Pueblo 17- 2 15 9 0.00
330 H Fort Lewis 17- 6 11 10 0.00
405 A Westminster (UT) 20- 5 15 4 1.26
411 H Colorado-Colorado Spri 20- 9 11 3 + 2.42
413 H Regis (CO) 11-14 -3 -1 -1.60
417 A Fort Lewis 16- 2 14 9 0.00
419 A CSU-Pueblo 20- 5 15 8 0.00
425 H Westminster (UT) 17- 7 10 5 0.15
427 H Regis (CO) 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Grand Valley State 7-14 -7 0 -- -5.04
214 A Rockhurst 14-16 -2 0 - -2.28
427 H Regis (CO) 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.60
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 A Regis (CO) 16-11 5 -3 +++ 7.51
411 H Colorado-Colorado Spri 20- 9 11 3 + 2.42
|
Colorado Mesa Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
 
| Adelphi |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Alabama-Huntsville |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Alabama-Huntsville |
American International |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Anderson (SC) |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Ashland |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Colorado Mesa |
Assumption |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Barton |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Belmont Abbey |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Bentley |
Bentley |
|
 
| Bentley |
Bloomsburg |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Bridgeport |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Caldwell |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Catawba |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Charleston |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Chestnut Hill |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Chowan |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Coker |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
Concordia-St Paul |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Colorado Mesa |
Converse |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
CSU-Pueblo |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
D'Youville |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Daemen |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Davenport |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Colorado Mesa |
Davis & Elkins |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
District of Columbia |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Dominican (CA) |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
|
 
| Dominican (NY) |
East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
|
 
| East Stroudsburg |
Edinboro |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Emmanuel (GA) |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Emory & Henry |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Felician |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Findlay |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Flagler |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Flagler |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
Florida Southern   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
 
| |
Fort Lewis |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
Franklin Pierce |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Frostburg State |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Gannon |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Georgian Court |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
 
| |
Holy Family |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Indiana (PA) |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
Indianapolis   4- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Lake Erie |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Lander |
Lander |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Lander |
Lee |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Lees-McRae |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Colorado Mesa |
Lewis |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Colorado Mesa |
Limestone |
Limestone |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Limestone |
Lincoln Memorial |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Lock Haven |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Lynn |
Lynn |
|
Lynn   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Malone |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Mars Hill |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Maryville |
Maryville |
|
Maryville   4- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
McKendree |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Colorado Mesa |
Mercy |
Mercy |
|
 
| Mercy |
Millersville |
Millersville |
|
 
| Millersville |
Missouri Western |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
Molloy |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Montevallo |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Mount Olive |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
New Haven |
New Haven |
|
 
| New Haven |
Newberry |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
North Greenville |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Northern Michigan |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Northwood |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Pace |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) |
Pace |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Colorado Mesa |
Post |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Quincy |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) |
Colorado Mesa |
Regis (CO) |
Regis (CO) |
Regis (CO) |
 
| |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
 
| |
Rollins |
Rollins |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Rollins |
Saginaw Valley State |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Seton Hill |
Shepherd |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Shippensburg |
Shippensburg |
|
 
| Shippensburg |
Shorter |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
 
| Slippery Rock |
Southern Connecticut |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Southern New Hampshire |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Southern Wesleyan |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
 
| St Anselm |
St Leo |
St Leo |
St Leo |
 
| |
St Michaels |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Colorado Mesa |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Tampa |
Tampa |
|
Tampa   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Thomas Jefferson |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Thomas More |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Tiffin |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Tusculum |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Ursuline |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
UVA Wise |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Virginia State |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Walsh |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Colorado Mesa |
West Chester |
West Chester |
|
 
| West Chester |
West Virginia Wesleyan |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Westminster (UT) |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
Wheeling |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
William Jewell |
Colorado Mesa |
|
Colorado Mesa   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Wilmington (DE) |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Wingate |
Wingate |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Wingate |
Young Harris |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
PowerWise = 80

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rockhurst (12- 4, 90.5) 14-16 -9.38 21.80 0.55 0.95 -8.39
0 A Missouri Weste ( 9- 8, 88.1) 15-12 -11.81 19.37 0.55 0.95 18.94
0 A Florida Tech ( 6-12, 94.0) 8-15 -5.87 25.31 0.55 0.95 -5.05
0 A St Leo (13- 6, 96.5) 10-18 -3.40 27.78 0.55 0.95 -2.71
0 H Grand Valley S (15- 3, 91.9) 7-14 -8.03 23.15 -0.55 0.95 -8.16
0 A Regis (CO) (13- 4, 93.3) 16-11 -6.59 24.59 0.55 0.95 23.90
0 A Colorado-Color ( 9- 6, 89.3) 18-15 -10.57 20.61 0.55 0.95 20.12
0 H Westminster (U ( 6-10, 87.1) 17- 6 -12.84 18.34 -0.55 0.95 16.91
0 H CSU-Pueblo ( 2-12, 82.7) 17- 2 -17.18 14.00 -0.55 0.95 12.79
0 H Fort Lewis ( 1-15, 81.7) 17- 6 -18.21 12.97 -0.55 0.95 11.81
0 A Westminster (U ( 6-10, 87.1) 20- 5 -12.84 18.34 0.55 0.95 17.96
0 H Colorado-Color ( 9- 6, 89.3) 20- 9 -10.57 20.61 -0.55 0.95 19.07
0 H Regis (CO) (13- 4, 93.3) 11-14 -6.59 24.59 -0.55 0.95 -6.79
0 A Fort Lewis ( 1-15, 81.7) 16- 2 -18.21 12.97 0.55 0.95 12.86
0 A CSU-Pueblo ( 2-12, 82.7) 20- 5 -17.18 14.00 0.55 0.95 13.84
0 H Westminster (U ( 6-10, 87.1) 17- 7 -12.84 18.34 -0.55 0.95 16.91
0 H Regis (CO) (13- 4, 93.3) 8-12 -6.59 24.59 -0.55 0.95 -6.79
------
147.19
|
winning pts = 185.0947 losing points = -37.9009
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------